#04F9B3
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Featherstar
She could now see that destiny alone could not save RiverClan. - Frostpaw, Wind
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Post by Featherstar on Mar 8, 2024 9:38:24 GMT -5
The 2024 global Tropical Cyclone season officially began on January 1st, 2024 and will officially end on December 31st, 2024
The Saffer-Simson Hurricane Wind Scale Tropical Depression - 30 to 38 mph Tropical Storm- 39 to 73 mph Category 1 - 74 to 95 mph Category 2 - 96 to 110 mph Category 3 - 111 to 129 mph Category 4 - 130 to 156 mph Category 5 - 157+ mph
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#04F9B3
StarClan leader
Name Colour
Featherstar
She could now see that destiny alone could not save RiverClan. - Frostpaw, Wind
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Post by Featherstar on Mar 23, 2024 16:55:14 GMT -5
Unofficial danger of a cyclone landfall scale requirements: 1. Must be around less than 24 hours away from formation or a Potential Tropical Cyclone, or a full-fledged tropical cyclone per the NHC 2. Must threaten landmass(es) within 24 hours
Point Scale 0-4 points = code green5-7 points = code yellow 8-10 points = code red0 points = no storm(s) nearing landfall
1 point = a weak wave or disturbance expected to approach land or make landfall 2 points = a Potential Tropical Cyclone expected to impact/make landfall in 24 hours3 points = tropical depression or storm close to landfall4 points = a strong tropical storm close to landfall 5 points = a weak hurricane nearing landfall
6 points = a moderate hurricane close to landfall
7 points = a strong hurricane nearing landfall 8 points = a very strong hurricane about to make landfall
9 points = an very intense hurricane expected to or already making landfall
10 points = an extremely intense hurricane making landfall
Current Code and points: Code Green, 1 point
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#04F9B3
StarClan leader
Name Colour
Featherstar
She could now see that destiny alone could not save RiverClan. - Frostpaw, Wind
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Post by Featherstar on Mar 26, 2024 16:00:02 GMT -5
Tropical Cyclone Activity around the World
Chance of a Tropical Cyclone Forming Scale; Low (0-30%) Medium (40-60%) High (70-100%)
North Atlantic Basin:
Potential Tropical Cyclone One
(Current Intensity: 40 mph, 1001 mbs)
An area of showers and thunderstorms is present in the Bay of Campeche. Advisories will be initiated on Potential Tropical Cyclone One at 4 PM CDT
70% chance of formation in 48 hours\ 70% chance of formation in 7 days
Disturbance #2
An area of low pressure is present in the southwestern Atlantic. Conditions appear conducive for development before it approaches the U.S. East Coast by Thursday or Friday.
10% chance of formation in 48 hours\ 30% chance of formation in 7 days
Eastern Pacific Basin:
No systems present or expected within the next seven days
Central Pacific Basin:
No Tropical Cyclones or Areas of Interest active
Western Pacific Basin:
No Tropical Cyclones or Areas of Interest active
North Indian Ocean Basin:
No Tropical Cyclones or Areas of Interest active
South Pacific Basin:
No Tropical Cyclones or Areas of Interest active
Australian Region Basin:
No Tropical Cyclones or Areas of Interest active
South-West Indian Ocean Basin:
No Tropical Cyclones or Areas of Interest active
Unofficial Basins (South Atlantic, Southeast Pacific and Mediterranean Sea): —————————————————————— No Tropical Cyclones or Areas of Interest active
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#04F9B3
StarClan leader
Name Colour
Featherstar
She could now see that destiny alone could not save RiverClan. - Frostpaw, Wind
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Post by Featherstar on Mar 28, 2024 12:55:49 GMT -5
Gamane peaked at 100 mph. We also have early predictions from Accuweather revealed yesterday; 20-25 named storms, 8-12 hurricanes and 4-7 major hurricanes. The Hurricane season starts June 1st in the Atlantic and Central Pacific and May 15th in the Eastern Pacific.
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#04F9B3
StarClan leader
Name Colour
Featherstar
She could now see that destiny alone could not save RiverClan. - Frostpaw, Wind
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Post by Featherstar on Apr 2, 2024 16:21:46 GMT -5
The tropics globally are currently inactive. This is normal for the time of year as April is one of the least active months of the year on average. However a signal is growing off of the northwestern edge of Australia, in line with the Australian Region’s late peak season.
The AR’s next name is Olga The SPAC’s next name is Pita The SWIO’s next name is Hidaya
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#04F9B3
StarClan leader
Name Colour
Featherstar
She could now see that destiny alone could not save RiverClan. - Frostpaw, Wind
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Post by Featherstar on Apr 9, 2024 7:17:19 GMT -5
Olga formed and later exploded into a short lived 140 mph major cyclone. It is a weak slop storm now. We also have Invest 97P in the western Australian Region.
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#04F9B3
StarClan leader
Name Colour
Featherstar
She could now see that destiny alone could not save RiverClan. - Frostpaw, Wind
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Post by Featherstar on Apr 10, 2024 13:47:26 GMT -5
Invest 97P has gotten rapidly well developed and developed and the JTWC has issued a Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert (TCFA) on it. It will likely become Tropical Cyclone 22P here soon.
The BoM (Australia’s Regional Specialized Meterlogical Center) is tracking a pre-designated Tropical Low 12U which should form here soon. It isn’t expected to do anything for a while if anything at all.
Olga became a remnant low this morning. Olga was also active during the Great American Solar Eclipse of April 8th, 2024 this I now call the storm the “eclipse cyclone”. Olga’s remnants are expected to dissipate here soon.
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#04F9B3
StarClan leader
Name Colour
Featherstar
She could now see that destiny alone could not save RiverClan. - Frostpaw, Wind
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Post by Featherstar on Apr 10, 2024 14:27:20 GMT -5
Quick important update:
Invest 97P was upgraded to Tropical Cyclone 22P and Tropical Cyclone Paul by the JTWC and BoM respectively.
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Post by ☆*:.。. Rain .。.:*☆ on Apr 10, 2024 16:14:10 GMT -5
Respectfully, what is the point of/goal for this thread?
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#04F9B3
StarClan leader
Name Colour
Featherstar
She could now see that destiny alone could not save RiverClan. - Frostpaw, Wind
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Post by Featherstar on Apr 11, 2024 11:27:27 GMT -5
Respectfully, what is the point of/goal for this thread? I kinda do this for memory purposes, tracking the storms and to keep people informed. But anyone is welcome to comment.
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Post by ☆*:.。. Rain .。.:*☆ on Apr 11, 2024 13:39:56 GMT -5
Respectfully, what is the point of/goal for this thread? I kinda do this for memory purposes, tracking the storms and to keep people informed. But anyone is welcome to comment. Oh interesting
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#04F9B3
StarClan leader
Name Colour
Featherstar
She could now see that destiny alone could not save RiverClan. - Frostpaw, Wind
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Post by Featherstar on Apr 24, 2024 16:47:27 GMT -5
The National Hurricane Center has declared an area of interest in the eastern ATL that had been persisting for a day or so.
They go 10% 2 day/10% 7 day
This is the first AoI in the month of April for the NATL since the low that became Tropical Storm Arlene in 2017.
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Post by tumblepaw on Apr 24, 2024 17:14:57 GMT -5
Oh joy, another hurricane season. So glad I moved further inland 4 years ago. I’m about 45 minutes from the beach now as opposed to 10. Never mind the coastal town I lived in became too expensive for me!
I hope this year isn’t too eventful. Just keep them out to sea as fish storms!
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#04F9B3
StarClan leader
Name Colour
Featherstar
She could now see that destiny alone could not save RiverClan. - Frostpaw, Wind
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Post by Featherstar on Apr 24, 2024 17:59:32 GMT -5
Oh joy, another hurricane season. So glad I moved further inland 4 years ago. I’m about 45 minutes from the beach now as opposed to 10. Never mind the coastal town I lived in became too expensive for me! I hope this year isn’t too eventful. Just keep them out to sea as fish storms! This season in particular is looking pretty favorable, with La Niña coming back and lowering wind shear. Forecasts have been calling for anywhere between 21-39 Named Storms this year. Florida will have to watch out once again.
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Post by tumblepaw on Apr 24, 2024 19:10:48 GMT -5
Oh joy, another hurricane season. So glad I moved further inland 4 years ago. I’m about 45 minutes from the beach now as opposed to 10. Never mind the coastal town I lived in became too expensive for me! I hope this year isn’t too eventful. Just keep them out to sea as fish storms! This season in particular is looking pretty favorable, with La Niña coming back and lowering wind shear. Forecasts have been calling for anywhere between 21-39 Named Storms this year. Florida will have to watch out once again. I know. I’m stuck in SC. We’ll get Florida’s leftovers at the very least. Like I said, I hope most of them end up being fish storms. But I’ll be stocking up on canned food and making other preparations anyways.
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#04F9B3
StarClan leader
Name Colour
Featherstar
She could now see that destiny alone could not save RiverClan. - Frostpaw, Wind
|
Post by Featherstar on May 2, 2024 18:10:40 GMT -5
Well in the South-West Indian Ocean, even though it is May (November equivalent there) we got another one. Severe Tropical Storm Hidaya formed yesterday, and has upped its game. Currently it is at 65 mph, with a peak estimate by the JTWC of 75 mph. Its area of formation is of a rare origin area, and its track forecast is unusual too. If any other systems form before the season is over, the next name will be Ialy.
The BoM has marked a signal in the Jakarta’s AoR, Tropical Low 16U, for potential development in the near future. This low remains to watched. The next AUS name is Robyn, Jakarta’s next name is Bakung and Port Moresby’s next random name is Hibu.
The South Pacific had its quietest season in a long while with six total storms, four of them named. The next name here is Pita, which at this point seems like it will be used next season (2024-25)
The Western Pacific has not had a single storm this year so far, compared to last year’s one storm by this time (2023’s Sanvu). If we reach May 12th with no development, this season will enter the top 5 latest starting WPAC season’s on record. Latest Season start in the WPAC on record was 1983 with its first storm forming in late-June. The next name here is Ewiniar.
The conditions for this Atlantic Hurricane Season just seem to keep on getting better! Models just keep going with low wind shear, lower pressure than normal during the season, above average water temperatures and more! The Saharan Air Layer and potential surprise wind shear remain to be watched. The Atlantic’s first name this season is Alberto, last used in 2018.
For the Eastern Pacific the first name is Aletta, last used in 2018 and the next Central Pacific name is Hone, a name never used before.
The North Indian Ocean’s next name is Remal.
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#04F9B3
StarClan leader
Name Colour
Featherstar
She could now see that destiny alone could not save RiverClan. - Frostpaw, Wind
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Post by Featherstar on May 2, 2024 18:13:15 GMT -5
This season in particular is looking pretty favorable, with La Niña coming back and lowering wind shear. Forecasts have been calling for anywhere between 21-39 Named Storms this year. Florida will have to watch out once again. I know. I’m stuck in SC. We’ll get Florida’s leftovers at the very least. Like I said, I hope most of them end up being fish storms. But I’ll be stocking up on canned food and making other preparations anyways. I hope you stay safe this season, best of luck!
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#04F9B3
StarClan leader
Name Colour
Featherstar
She could now see that destiny alone could not save RiverClan. - Frostpaw, Wind
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Post by Featherstar on May 3, 2024 9:22:41 GMT -5
Hidaya peaked at 90 mph, a Tropical Cyclone down there. It is still set to landfall somewhere along the Tanzania Coastline.
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#04F9B3
StarClan leader
Name Colour
Featherstar
She could now see that destiny alone could not save RiverClan. - Frostpaw, Wind
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Post by Featherstar on May 24, 2024 16:05:25 GMT -5
Invest 93W in the Western Pacific has become Tropical Depression 01W (Philippe name Aghon)! It is the latest start to the northern hemisphere tropical cyclone season in almost 200 years! 01W is expected to peak at 75 knots or 85 mph.
Meanwhile a disturbance is being watched for possible development in the Atlantic and Invest 99B in the North Indian Ocean’s eastern sub-basin Bay of Bengal has a medium chance of developing into a named storm with 24 hours. The center of 99B is quite broad so it will take some time still for it to get itself together to become a tropical cyclone.
Next name for the Western Pacific is Ewiniar, the Northern Atlantic’s first name of the season is Alberto, same name and naming list used six years ago in the 2018 season, and in the North Indian Ocean it is Remal.
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#04F9B3
StarClan leader
Name Colour
Featherstar
She could now see that destiny alone could not save RiverClan. - Frostpaw, Wind
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Post by Featherstar on May 29, 2024 19:44:34 GMT -5
Tropical Depression 01W in the Western Pacific formed into Typhoon Ewiniar early on May 25th. It peaked as a mid-end Category 2-equivalent storm with winds of 105 mph and made multiple landfalls in the Phillippes. It also was the first northern hemisphere storm to reach hurricane-force winds this year. Ewiniar’s formation on May 24th as 01W marked one of the latest starts to a northern hemisphere cyclone season since the 1880s.
Invest 99B in the Northern Indian Ocean’s Bay of Bengal formed into 01B and then Remal. Remal peaked at 60 mph and made landfall between the border of Bangladesh and India.
There are hints that the Atlantic might get going around the second week of June.
It also looks like the Eastern Pacific is going to go into June a second year in a row without a storm having developed in May previously.
Though the Southern Hemisphere was done yet? Think again! Another signal has popped up in the Southwest Indian Ocean. June is equivalent to December down there. It’s not often you get an active May followed by an odd (possible) storm in June.
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#04F9B3
StarClan leader
Name Colour
Featherstar
She could now see that destiny alone could not save RiverClan. - Frostpaw, Wind
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Post by Featherstar on May 29, 2024 19:49:41 GMT -5
Forgot to mention Tropical Cyclone Ialy. It was a Southwest Indian Ocean storm that nearly reached the equator as a tropical storm and formed and followed the same general direction as Hidaya did before it. It peaked at 75 mph, barely a hurricane force cyclone and it dissipated just off the coast of Kenya and extreme Somalia.
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#04F9B3
StarClan leader
Name Colour
Featherstar
She could now see that destiny alone could not save RiverClan. - Frostpaw, Wind
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Post by Featherstar on Jun 3, 2024 18:52:58 GMT -5
The Southwest Indian Ocean continues to try its shanagins of post-season activity. 94S was redesignated 95S earlier today.
There are hints for the Atlantic that we might get a MDR system in June… yet again.
Eastern Pacific has entered June without its first storm once again, similar to last year. Last year’s first storm, Hurricane Adrian, formed on June 27, which was the latest first tropical depression on record and second-latest first named storm on record (latest first named storm on record is Tropical Storm Agatha 2016, which was named on July 2nd, 2016)
The Western Pacific and Northern Indian Ocean remain quiet after the slight bit of storms.
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#04F9B3
StarClan leader
Name Colour
Featherstar
She could now see that destiny alone could not save RiverClan. - Frostpaw, Wind
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Post by Featherstar on Jun 5, 2024 16:36:47 GMT -5
And 95S is gone when the wind…
The Central American Gyre looks to possibly form a storm on either side of Mexico, models are not in agreement on which side yet though.
The ECMWF TC guidance is out for June calling for 21 Named Storms and 11 Hurricanes between July and December, same time frame for the Western Pacific calls for 19 Named Storms and 10 Typhoons.
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#04F9B3
StarClan leader
Name Colour
Featherstar
She could now see that destiny alone could not save RiverClan. - Frostpaw, Wind
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Post by Featherstar on Jun 5, 2024 16:41:27 GMT -5
For anyone interested, I released my predictions for this Atlantic Hurricane Season yesterday Here is the Thread: 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season Predictions
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#04F9B3
StarClan leader
Name Colour
Featherstar
She could now see that destiny alone could not save RiverClan. - Frostpaw, Wind
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Post by Featherstar on Jun 7, 2024 18:41:49 GMT -5
The potential for a Central American Gyre-origin storm in the Atlantic seems to be growing. Model support has trended it for a little while now. A second possible signal is growing for another storm after that in the same area. Whether the two are one and the same, we will find out soon.
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#04F9B3
StarClan leader
Name Colour
Featherstar
She could now see that destiny alone could not save RiverClan. - Frostpaw, Wind
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Post by Featherstar on Jun 8, 2024 17:18:08 GMT -5
And now the highest possibility for this coming low is likely to be a sheared low-pressure area but a weak tropical depression to a weak tropical storm can’t be ruled out.
The Eastern Pacific remains quiet, representing its latest start since last year, 2023 which started on June 27 with what became Hurricane Adrian.
A possible signal is also showing up in the Northern Indian Ocean’s Bay of Bengal for a few weeks from now.
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#04F9B3
StarClan leader
Name Colour
Featherstar
She could now see that destiny alone could not save RiverClan. - Frostpaw, Wind
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Post by Featherstar on Jun 10, 2024 17:00:40 GMT -5
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Post by Sand on Jun 11, 2024 3:33:50 GMT -5
Let me check! You need to select the link that’s labeled as BBCode beneath the full image linked section. because it has the image type (jpg) included in the link.
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#04F9B3
StarClan leader
Name Colour
Featherstar
She could now see that destiny alone could not save RiverClan. - Frostpaw, Wind
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Post by Featherstar on Jun 11, 2024 12:30:02 GMT -5
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#04F9B3
StarClan leader
Name Colour
Featherstar
She could now see that destiny alone could not save RiverClan. - Frostpaw, Wind
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Post by Featherstar on Jun 11, 2024 12:32:13 GMT -5
After a slow start to the hurricane season, we now have Invest 90L off the western coast of Florida. NHC gives it 10% chance of developing in 2 days and 20% in 7 days.
A signal is finally growing again for Eastern Pacific, for about a week or so out in time.
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